Jrue Holiday Over 1.5 3PM at Miami
Jrue Holiday’s three-point game is on fire, averaging 3.4 per game in the last five. Playing 33.8 minutes a game, he’s in the NBA’s top 91%. Against the Heat, opposing starting SGs attempt 6.3 threes per game. The Boston Celtics have ranked 4th in tempo recently and 6th in offensive rebounds with 11.5 per game over the last 20. Nailing two three-pointers should be suitable for Jrue Holiday.
Result: Over ✅
Jalen Brunson Under 28.6 Points Scored vs Denver
The Knicks are struggling to score, averaging 110.0 points per game in the last five games, ranking 7th lowest in the league. Facing Denver means fewer attempts from downtown; Nuggets’ road games see the 15th fewest three-point attempts by opposing starting PGs (4.5 per game). The Knicks play slowly at home, while the Nuggets maintain a low rate on the road, suggesting a decreased pace tonight. All this translates to fewer scoring opportunities for Jalen Brunson. The 28.5 seems high for this matchup.
Result: Under ✅
Keegan Murray Over 23.5 Total Points, Rebounds, & Assists at Golden State
Keegan Murray’s killing it with 7.6 baskets per game in the last 10. On the road, his three-point play steps up, hitting 2.8 shots per game in the previous 5. Against Golden State, who are coming off of an emotional win last night and on their second night of a back-to-back, expect Murray to go for it; when the Warriors defend at home, starting power forwards face a defense ranked 29th in most attempts per game. And hey, the Kings are keeping it fast-paced with the 5th-most up-tempo style in the last five games, which results in more rebounding and assist opportunities. Murray’s geared up for some action and has hit over this total in 5 of his last 7, including a game where he left due to injury. Light it up on your ticket.
Result: Under ❌
