Ravens vs. Chiefs: Ravens to Cover (-3.5)
The Ravens and Chiefs are about to throw down for a spot in the Super Bowl. My bet? The Ravens taking it and covering the spread by 3.5 points.
First, Lamar Jackson is leading the charge for the Ravens, and with that MVP mojo, their offense is cooking. Plus, their defense? It’s a beast, sitting pretty at #2 in total yards. Going up against the Chiefs, the Ravens have the whole package – a tough defense, a hyped-up crowd, and Jackson’s playmaking wizardry. That combo could be the game-changer.
Let’s talk defense. The Ravens are #1 in the league in points against, QB rating, and sacks. They’re not just playing; they’re dominating and against good teams. And they do not give up big plays in the passing game (also #1 in the league). Unlocking this defense could be a challenging task, even for Mahomes.
The Ravens have a solid 7-3 ATS record in their last ten games. Overall, the Ravens have 14+ point wins against seven teams with winning records. That 3.5-point spread? It’s a nod to my confidence in the Ravens dictating the game’s tempo. Picture this: they’re locking in the win while keeping Mahomes, Kelce, and the Chiefs crew on the bench, with fewer chances to light up that scoreboard just like they did to the 49ers and the Lions, among other good teams already this season.
Result: Chiefs Cover by +11.5 ❌
49ers vs. Lions: Under 51.5 Points
So, let’s chat about the 49ers vs. Lions game, where I’ve got this itch to roll with the under on the 51.5 total points.
The 49ers and Lions are bringing some defensive swagger to the table, ranking in the top 3 in the league against the rush. They’re gearing up for a chess match on the field, strategizing to keep those opponent passing offenses at bay. We all know the 49ers are a defensive force, but did you catch Brock Purdy’s shaky game last week against Green Bay? And hello, Aiden Hutchinson has been a human wrecking ball lately!
It’s all about trusting in the defensive strategy in these teams. Picture them going all out to shutting down the explosive plays in the passing game, turning this matchup into a hunt for points with the clock moving fast.
Now, sprinkle in the drama of the Deebo Samuel injury (Will he play, and will he be limited?), toss in that neither team has busted the over 50+ points mark all season long, and you’ve got a solid case for going under.
Result: Over by 11.5 ❌
